Why have insurgents that have graced Uganda ever since 1986 failed where NRA/NRM succeeded?

Guerrilla warfare is not an end in itself. It is a means to capturing state power.If you are an insurgents, your life insurance as individual agents and as organisations is to ensure harmonious relations with the population that shelters you, replenishes you with recruits, feeds you, gives you vital intelligence: bottomline, the population you claim to be fighting for. That is as basic a fact as common expressions such as not “biting the hand that feeds you”, “killing the goose that lays the egg”, “cutting the tree branch you are sitting on”, “knowing which side of the bread that is buttered”, etc.

Let us look at the insurgents that have graced Uganda ever since 1986.Why have they failed where NRA/NRM succeeded?

Uganda People’s Democratic Army (UPDM/A)
Uganda People’s Army (UPA)
Ruwenzururu Kingdom Freedom Movement
Uganda Freedom Movement (UFM)
Uganda Mujahdeen Movement (UMM)
Ninth October Movement/Army (NOM/A)
Allied Democratic Front/Force (ADF)
Force Obote Back Army (FOBA),
Federal Democratic Movement (Fedemo)
West Nile Bank Front (WNBF) I &II
Uganda National Democratic Alliance (UNDA)
National Army for the Liberation of Uganda (NALU)
Uganda National Rescue Front (UNRF) I &II
Holy Spirit Movement/Holy Spirit Mobile Forces (HSM) I & II
Citizen Army for Multiparty Politics (CAMP),
Action Restore Justice (ARJ)
Former Uganda National Army (FUNA),
Anti-Referendum Army (ARA),
Peoples’ Redemption Army (PRA)
Uganda Salvation Force/Army (USF/A)
Lord’s Army
Lord’s Resistance Army (LRA),

Would the existence or non-existence of a guerrilla group in the jungles of Luwero have made a difference to the fact that the generation of bayaye, Kazindas, kusamula, looting etc would at one time take charge of the country?

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