2016 IS A TICKING TIME BOMB FOR ALL MOVEMENTISTS, UNLESS ……………….”

Friends

As we continue to follow the political nightmare of our country, there are some facts I need to raise tonight that are seriously on our door and we have every right to discuss them. Being in politics as Movementists have been, does not mean that you are stupid, thus there are major serious questions being asked in Kampala among the hierarchy of the Movement that are very disturbing that I need to raise tonight. And the question mainly is this, so we have been in power this long, we have enjoyed life this long, but what is the end of this game? There are many in the movement that wonder how this thing gets closed up. Now as they are asking each other this question, there are starting points many agree on for example, Yoweri Museveni has to go that is no longer a question it is only when and how, Muhoozi Kayinerugaba has to go, that also is no longer a question, Ssabassajja Mutebi goes half hour even before Museveni and Muhoozi leave, but after all those go then what? Do we really need some guy to show up in Entebbe State House and line all of us into a firing squad let alone handing all of us over to the international court? But age is on top of us, so that is something we need to consider and very widely for it closes the door on us by every single night that falls on Kampala. So the following officers have for a while been questioning where they are heading, Peco Kutesa, Kyaligonza, Elly Tumwiine, Tumukunde, Jorum Mugume, Dr. Kiiza Besigye, Kamwesigye, Otafiire, now Tinyefunza is quite but very aware of the unsure future, Salim Saleh also aware but talks only in the night now that he is the only link between the old timers and Museveni. A man like Mugisha Muntu later learned it the hard way that he had been turned on against many of his comrades and later dumped. Baganda Generals cannot comment loudly but count Kasirye Gwanga among those pushing for a very serious discussion of how to end this Movement game. The only bold Muganda was Lt. Col Sserwanga Lwanga but as you all know how he passed on when he could have been saved medically, Sserwanga was just simply written off. But you have civilians like Rwakakoko, Ruzindana, Tumwesigye, Kweronda Ruhemba, Elly Karuhanga and many others all inclusive see a pending disaster, but simply cannot utter a word for fear of the BOSS! But the very clear understanding within the Movement is that the Movement game has to end, and if it is to end it has to end before the 2016 election. But note also that all this is amidst their confusion by Amama Mbabazi that many from within would just love to castrate.

Now as all these discussions are going on, Museveni also has another card he is throwing on the pallet. You see the push of an end of The Movement game is also being discussed within his trust worthy’s, and he is being asked to find a solution or a way to end this thing before the 2016 election, and one of the cards he has thrown on the pallet is the reconciliation stance, thus the visiting of Mama Miria and Muzeeyi Byanyima. When you look carefully at Paul Kagame’s problem, it is mainly a failure to build a bridge between Hutus and Tutsis, a failure to settle an old history. Museveni believes that if he can bridge the old enemies he might find a solution for 2016. What Museveni fails to realize is that the situation in Uganda is actually very different from Rwanda, for example Maama Miria has moved on, but Byanyima is retired and sincerely useless. But Museveni also has a problem of Mbabazi who has decided to be a Museveni’s snag on Dr Kiiza Besigye, and Mbabazi has also an issue with Muhoozi Kayinerugaba being a successor, because Mbabazi within himself, very strongly believes that he should be the next Uganda’s president, and to him there is no debate on the obvious. Now Mbabazi has worked on being a president that is granted, but the problem with his plan is that he planted his men all over the place, and if your men are all over the place you simply cannot pull a government down. Which sends The Movement camp for some reason back into the Luwero days when they were all together, for trust me if Museveni leaves office, the individuals that will hunt down Mbabazi will hunt down Tinyefunza, will hunt down Mugisha Muntonyera, but will hunt down Dr Kiiza Besigye as will hunt down Ssabassajja Mutebi, so somehow finding a solution before 2016 election can collect all of the Luwero war characters together, for they have to save themselves before the coming election, better yet before Museveni gets recalled by his maker. At this point you need to pay particular attention to COO’s articles on Museveni’s reconciliation stances, for they are a hunt of a solution to this problem by the Museveni inner circles.

But among the problems these fellows have is who exactly can replace Museveni but guarantee our safety with our families and investments within Uganda? When you raise the name of Dr Kiiza Besigye, they all stand back and we still fail to understand why but we know that Besigye has a great deal of misunderstanding with some major Movement hierarchy. This misunderstanding appears to have started from Kasese when The Movement was still being defined in terms of policies. It had an interim administration headed by Haji Kigongo, now you see he had to be a planted Muganda and on a purpose, it was the time then when Ssabassajja Mutebi was also entered into the Movement fray to solidify The Movement and the Buganda Kingdom!! The situation reached a climax when Dr Kiiza Besigye wrote the infamous latter http://ugandansatheart.org/2012/08/06/besigyes-1999-document-that-landed-him-in-hot-soup/. By the way many top NRM officers attended meetings between 1992 and 1994 at a one senior official’s residence in Nakasero in which all had agreed to do “something” about the direction of The Movement. Very surprisingly a word leaked to Museveni and when he called one by one, they all denied those meetings, thus leaving Dr. Kiiza Besigye to suck it up alone. Apparently Tinyefunza is one guy that was more than willing to get rid of Museveni then! The leader of that over throw was not even Dr Kiiza Besigye, as it was believed by the Museveni insiders. Besigye just became an innocent accidental victim when everyone else denied everything. Dr Kiiza Besigye simply became a scape Goat.

Having stated that on Dr Kiiza Besigye, morals dictates that we must mention also that as he was being prepared to be court marshaled, Dr Kiiza Besigye’ s colleagues in Bombo hid the orders from State House because he was simply denied proper discharged from the army, a tactic Museveni uses to keep his soldiers on a leash. Besigye then mistakenly went on to announce himself as a presidential material to save himself from the Kangaroo protection. Now you need to realize that at this particular time, even Tinyefunza was his great supporter to a point of being his best man, a decision Tinyefunza did at a time to show total contempt to Museveni. Now this is just to show you how Dr Kiiza Besigye accidently jumped to prominence. As critical thinkers, we have a feeling that the place the Besigye’ s used for meetings was of Kigongo’ s house. I will add as well that Njuba and Suleiman Kiggundu were very involved for it was those two that mainly and publicly stuck to Dr Kiiza Besigye. I have also to note here that Baganda must read what Dr Kashambuzi is writing very closely, for he is setting up Buganda into the very same trouble of going against the Tutsi. Dr. Kashambuzi is telling Baganda what they want to hear only that he does not tell them that the Tutsis have power and money, and rallying against them at this material time can actually prove fatal. And I will leave that point at that glitch as much as I need to expand it. Which brings us to the death of Brigadier Mayombo, you see contrally to what many state, Mayombo may have been bumped by the Rwandese {And with time I will expand on that} . And note that I am using a term “may have been” It is alleged that against Tinyefuza and Otafire’s advice, Brigadier Mayombo who had been humiliated by the Rwandan army in The DRC war, simply got pissed up with Museveni and wanted to send the country into an open war to get even with Museveni. Now to understand where I am coming from, you need to remember that he was captured with Otafire and whipped as a kid, Mayombo never forgave them for that and he swore that even if it meant throwing Museveni out of power he will go after the Rwandese army. What is interesting is that the Rwandese apparently told Museveni why Mayombo was bumped off and it for some reason shocked him. It is important to note too that it is alleged too that Muhoozi was also directly involved into the bumping of Mayombo which pushed Museveni into saying that Muhoozi will lead Uganda only after he is in a casket. It is important too to recognize that Mayombo openly despised Muhoozi whenever he drunk a lot of his favorite –Ugandan Waragi saying that Muhoozi will lead Uganda only after he is also in a casket. It will be a miracle if the commission’s findings on his death will ever be realized.

But as this end of game still worry many in Kampala, there is an issue of the armed forces. Yes we may have one UPDF but in actual fact we have three armies in one. The Veterans “That includes the Katumba Wamalas” even then they include the famous Rukungiri Generals who are treated rather differently that the rest of the veterans. It is many of those, Rukungiri Generals, who now talk loudly in private about the scare future. It is these Generals that see a carnage in Uganda’s face. But let us also remember that these Generals are not only old, useless but typically scared of their life if the government collapses like today. Or may God forbid, God decides to instruct Museveni to meet his creator. Then we have the main body UPDF, the group that should have been The Mayombo’ s group. These are just regular soldiers officers and men who are as divided as the rest of the country. Among those came the Konyi boys whom got integrated, and are really the best fighters UPDF has now for they were trained and have fought wars. But this is not a coherent force and it is very divided as the country. They don’t have the capacity to choose what is best for them for many of their officers in command are tagged by their own escorts who have a direct line to state house. And much of it is not even a coherent force and many were dispersed to different units to be closely monitored. So you have with in that force a huge section that is hunting down its own tail that it will never catch. Then you have the most sophisticated army that solely belongs to Muhoozi, it is very different, separate training structure, separate command, separate salary class, extremely well and better armed. But I must point out here that this force is surprisingly very diverse in nature, it is the only force that was built from almost every tribe in Uganda. That within its self, makes it very hard to mingle or chose sides as many are in the age group 25 to 36, the officers are all graduates very polished and intelligent and yes well paid. Of course the tribal element and favoritism cannot be ruled out, but building this force to one belief that is anti Museveni, can develop to be very cumbersome.

Which brings me to the Buganda issue, confused as the Movement is above, Mengo and Buganda has a crisis in its self that does not make the issues any easier. There is a group of Baganda in Mengo that believe that Buganda and the Kingdom is as a human being to breathing, to those it was wrong for Ssabassajja to join the Movement altogether. They believe that a natural thing can never be instructed to be. They also feared that if the Kingdom is reinstated by a politician it so can be cut out again by a politician but they had an issue of making Luwero a battle ground. So these have taken this stand from early 80’s. But on reinstating the Kingdom, they hate the closeness Ssabassajja Mutebi has to the Movement, and they so rightly argue that how can you separate the Kingdom from a corrupt government when it gets cheques from it. But Ssabassajja himself has also come out as a man that takes very strange positions, for example, although the entire history of Buganda Kingdom is Anglican, they fail to understand how it became a tool of the Catholics thus Democratic Party. To that camp, the sooner Ssabassajja leaves the kingdom the better. In fact that camp also believes that at the rate Ssabassajja has opened up the Kingdom to Museveni, it is better saved by becoming shut down altogether. Ssabassajja has responded by making sure that he makes his future assured by investing in United Kingdom very extensively, again in preparation for the departure of Museveni or the Movement altogether.

Friends the situation in our country is at a pinnacle point for every one that camped into Luwero to create the Movement wants a solution to how the game ends, and all of them including Museveni, Besigye, Ssabassajja and the likes. It is not an easy situation, neither is the solution, but time is a factor to worry about as the door of The Movement is closing by either a government falling let alone Museveni getting recalled by his dear maker. To those as Matek Gook and OJ that have been following Uganda politics closely, stay awake for this situation is only getting better by the day if not minute. Now remember too that there is a huge pressure on Paul Kagame to leave office, if Kagame goes, this entire debate is going to change and very fast, for many of the decision makers on Uganda issues are directly or indirectly affected by what happens to Paul Kagame.

EDWARD MULINDWA
TORONTO